Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.048562 0.052756 0.057002 0.061616 0.066482 0.071453 0.076909
2025-01-26 0.041634 0.047759 0.054185 0.061403 0.069258 0.077523 0.086850
2025-02-02 0.036703 0.044241 0.052404 0.061842 0.072391 0.083762 0.096886
2025-02-09 0.033276 0.041953 0.051622 0.063084 0.076192 0.090608 0.107555
2025-02-16 0.031268 0.041016 0.052151 0.065637 0.081354 0.098929 0.119897
2025-02-23 0.027001 0.037048 0.048848 0.063478 0.080882 0.100686 0.124683
2025-03-02 0.024101 0.034472 0.046964 0.062779 0.081932 0.104057 0.131221
2025-03-09 0.021727 0.032345 0.045446 0.062359 0.083179 0.107561 0.137850
2025-03-16 0.020791 0.031965 0.046019 0.064442 0.087410 0.114587 0.148649
2025-03-23 0.019564 0.031098 0.045891 0.065582 0.090444 0.120164 0.157738
2025-03-30 0.018339 0.030135 0.045559 0.066401 0.093034 0.125184 0.166161
2025-04-06 0.016790 0.028611 0.044396 0.066068 0.094117 0.128321 0.172286
2025-04-13 0.015803 0.027846 0.044237 0.067065 0.096946 0.133709 0.181313
2025-04-20 0.014372 0.026340 0.042995 0.066572 0.097829 0.136669 0.187375
2025-04-27 0.013338 0.025346 0.042398 0.066891 0.099732 0.140897 0.195021
2025-05-04 0.012682 0.024876 0.042495 0.068123 0.102814 0.146617 0.204550
2025-05-11 0.012502 0.025130 0.043621 0.070770 0.107782 0.154771 0.217189
2025-05-18 0.010917 0.023033 0.041243 0.068473 0.106103 0.154372 0.219020
2025-05-25 0.009895 0.021769 0.040018 0.067724 0.106446 0.156536 0.224073
2025-06-01 0.009036 0.020709 0.039039 0.067274 0.107155 0.159149 0.229689
2025-06-08 0.008879 0.020851 0.039890 0.069464 0.111493 0.166534 0.241472
2025-06-15 0.008500 0.020570 0.040066 0.070663 0.114465 0.172139 0.250991
2025-06-22 0.008069 0.020164 0.040024 0.071524 0.116963 0.177124 0.259734